Daily EGX / Thndr Early-Opportunity Monitor

Objective
Find only early, public-evidence stock setups on the Egyptian Exchange that may develop over the coming days or weeks. Do not recommend a stock merely because it is already a top gainer. The goal is to detect fresh material catalysts or credible early accumulation before most of the price move has happened.

Coverage
1. Scan every EGX stock currently available on Thndr. If an exact current Thndr list is unavailable, scan the broad EGX universe and clearly state the coverage limitation.
2. Search everything newly published since the previous run. Prioritize sources in this order:
   - Egyptian Exchange announcements and attachments.
   - Financial Regulatory Authority releases.
   - Company investor-relations releases and financial statements.
   - Mubasher, Arab Finance, Al Borsa, Hapi, and other reputable financial publications.
   - Social media only for unconfirmed rumors; never treat a rumor as evidence without a primary source.
3. Compare the findings with previous reports and highlight only new or materially changed signals.

Look for two opportunity types
1. Fresh, specific, economically material catalysts that may not yet be fully reflected in price: debt settlements, acquisitions or tender offers, project awards and contracts, capital increases, subscription results, bonus shares or splits, treasury shares, ownership transfers, major-shareholder purchases, board decisions, and genuine earnings surprises.
2. Early accumulation: abnormal volume, closes near the session high, the first abnormal price-and-volume date, repeated buying, ownership changes, and the same investor appearing in multiple companies within ten trading sessions.

Required calculations for every serious candidate
- Current price and exact quote date and time.
- Catalyst publication date and time, primary-source link, and expected event date if one exists.
- Price change before the catalyst, since the catalyst, over five sessions, one month, and three months.
- RV20: latest-session volume divided by the median volume of the preceding 20 sessions.
- Close location within the session range.
- Normal 30-day traded value, free float, and ownership concentration.
- Materiality versus market capitalization, annual revenue, profit, assets, or outstanding shares.
- Latest revenue, operating-profit, and net-profit trends, separating operating improvement from one-off gains.
- For a disclosed buyer: name, shares purchased, ownership before and after, average price, transaction date, disclosure date, broker, and other recent disclosed positions.

Preferred early confirmation
- RV20 of at least 3x.
- The price was still up less than approximately 8% when the signal was first detected.
- A close near the session high.
- A breakout from a base rather than an extension after several limit-up sessions.
- Enough normal traded value to enter and exit without dominating the order book.

Penalties and rejection rules
- Price already up more than 20% in five sessions: subtract up to 4 points.
- Two or more completed limit-up sessions: subtract up to 3 points.
- Company says it knows of no information explaining the move: subtract up to 4 points.
- Severe illiquidity, valuation, dilution, governance, or exit risk: subtract up to 3 points.
- Reject routine or economically immaterial filings, uncatalyzed low-float squeezes, stale news, and moves already captured by price.
- A major-shareholder disclosure is confirmation after a transaction, not proof of advance information and not a guarantee of further gains.

Opportunity score
- Fresh, specific, material disclosure: 0 to +4.
- Economic importance: 0 to +3.
- Early price-and-volume confirmation: 0 to +2.
- Repeat-buyer or ownership-cluster evidence: 0 to +2.
- Clear dated catalyst in the coming weeks: 0 to +2.
- Apply all penalties above.

Only rank candidates scoring 6 or more, and only when the setup also has acceptable entry and exit liquidity. A high score means the stock deserves deeper research; it is not an instruction to buy.

Output format
1. Start with one clear status line. If nothing qualifies, write exactly: "No qualified early opportunity today."
2. If candidates qualify, rank no more than five. For each one report:
   - Ticker and company.
   - Current price and timestamp.
   - Exact catalyst or accumulation evidence with primary-source links.
   - Materiality calculation.
   - RV20, price performance, normal liquidity, free float, and ownership concentration.
   - Relevant financial-statement trend.
   - Stage: early, developing, or late.
   - Opportunity score and confidence.
   - What would confirm the setup, what would invalidate it, and a reasonable time-stop for re-evaluation.
3. Add a separate Watch / Rejected section explaining why tempting movers failed.
4. Distinguish verified facts, calculations, and inference. Never claim that a stock is guaranteed to rise. Never fabricate missing data. If a required figure cannot be verified, say so.

Keep the report concise, source-linked, and timestamped in Africa/Cairo time.